
一 | BRATISLAVA, Slovakia -- A populist former prime minister of Slovakia who plans to end the country’s military support for Ukraine signed on Monday a coalition agreement with the leaders of two other parties to form a new government.Robert Fico and his leftist Smer, or Direction, won the Sept 30 parliamentary election with 22.9% of the vote, taking 42 seats in the 150-seat legislature. He needed to find coalition partners to govern with a majority.Fico inked a deal with Peter Pellegrini, the head of the left-wing Hlas, or Voice, party, which placed third in the election and has 27 seats, and the ultra-nationalist and pro-Russia Slovak National Party, which has 10 lawmakers in the new parliament. Pellegrini was previously a senior member of Fico's party but broke away to form Hlas after the scandal-tainted Smer lost the 2020 election. Their reunion was key to Fico’s ability to form a government.The three parties agreed last week that Fico’s party will appoint the prime minister and have six other ministers, opening the way for Fico to serve as Slovakia’s head of government for the fourth time. Hlas will get to name the parliamentary speaker and seven Cabinet ministers, while the Slovak National Party will have three ministers.Fico said the three parties still have to nominate their ministers before he delivers the list to President Zuzana Caputova, whose role it is to swear in the new government.Fico didn’t say when that might happen but repeated he hoped to represent Slovakia at the next European Union leaders' summit, scheduled for late next week.Fico campaigned on a pro-Russian and anti-American message. He has vowed to withdraw Slovakia’s military support for Ukraine, and his victory could further strain the fragile unity in the European Union and NATO.He previously said he wants Slovakia to remain a member of the EU and NATO but with “full respect” for his country’s sovereignty.Smer will have the posts of the foreign, justice, defense and finance ministers, among others.Fico said Monday the foreign ministry “won’t speak for foreign interests.”Hlas will be in charge of the interior, economy and education ministries while the Slovak National Party will get the culture and environment ministers.Fico’s critics worry that his return to power could lead Slovakia to abandon its course in other ways, following the path of Hungary under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and to a lesser extent of Poland under the Law and Justice party.。

二 | 竞技世界,不可能既要又要。美国四大联盟的不可能三角:争冠、练兵、便宜——想争冠,就得把钱和薪水给熟男老将;想练兵,就得承担犯错与输球;想避税,就无法维持夺冠深度。拳击/格斗的不可能三角:体型、爆发力、持久——想要体型优势,就得脱水降重,于是不能持久;想兼具持久和爆发力,就不能减重,于是没体型优势。

三 | 足球的不可能三角:高位逼抢、高压续航、集体健康——高逼抢累人,高续航+高逼抢=过载于是受伤;所以跑动强队没几支能持久;巴黎过去两年的欧冠,也托赖了法甲强度低:甚至可以替补踢法甲、主力踢欧冠。

四 | 跑步的不可能三角:跑量、强度、健康——跑量堆心肺,强度堆配速,跑量X强度毁健康。所以三个里面一般只有俩。将上面这些道理合起来,就是竞技世界终极不可能:极端产量 × 团队完整 × 最终冠军。具体有:NBA常规赛得分王不夺冠——三分球时代只有:2000鲨鱼、2025亚历山大,以及乔丹的六个冠军。NBA常规赛助攻王不夺冠——三分球时代只有:1987魔术师,2020勒布朗。NFL传球码数王不夺超级碗——例外只有2022年马霍姆斯。那年他也是NFL本世纪唯一常规赛MVP+超级碗MVP。世界杯金靴奖不夺冠——1986年以来,只有2002的罗纳尔多例外。道理也不难明白:世界杯金靴:球队就指望你进球。NBA常规赛得分王:球队就指望你得分。NBA常规赛助攻王:球队就指望你传球——1987魔术师和2020勒布朗自己还能得分,且1987湖人还有个天勾,2020湖人还有个浓眉。NFL传球码数王:球队就指望你传球。要么是球队太弱,要么是你独掌球权,要么是两者兼具。总之你一个人厉害,那对手只要关注你就好咯!马霍姆斯六个全明星赛,三个超级碗:其中传球码数最少的2019和2023各一个超级碗。汤姆·布雷迪七个超级碗,常规赛传球码数分别是生涯倒一、倒三、倒四、倒五、倒九、倒十二,最好的2020是生涯第七。2002罗纳尔多则是另一个例子:1998年他4球3助攻,基本包揽巴西进攻发起,金球奖但世界亚军;2002他专注禁区进球,里瓦尔多和小罗帮他创造,于是他银球奖但世界冠军。

五 | 个人承担少一点,结果反而好一点。但乔丹终究做到了六次得分王x总冠军?乔丹1987-1990,场均37分5助攻、35分6助攻、33分8助攻、34分6助攻。1991-93:场均32分6助攻,30分6助攻,33分6助攻,球队61、67、57胜,三连冠。1996-98:场均30分4助攻,30分4助攻,29分4助攻,球队72、69、62胜,三连冠。

六 | 72胜、69胜和67胜的年份,他场均30分4助攻、29分4助攻、30分6助攻:战绩最好的年份,反而是数据比较差的年份——因为球队不用他自己扛,他也把任务更多分给队友们了。自己更多无球,更多做些数据看不见的事。所以哪怕是乔丹这样的反规律存在,六次得分王x总冠军,依然是常规赛数据相对不算壮丽的年份。只是他得分能力超越时代太多,所以才能得分王x总冠军手拿把掐。乔丹不是在夺冠时变得更会得分,而是在夺冠时不用那么拼命得分。实际上,乔丹、马霍姆斯、魔术师、勒布朗和罗纳尔多这些偶尔的例外,本身都是历史性的存在,而那些年份也都是:我既是数据中心,但球队又不只靠我。这就是竞技世界的不可能三角:极端产量 × 团队完整 × 最终冠军。三者通常只能取二。大包大揽数据荣誉一把抓我全都要——那基本不可能。
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